Remo vs Flamengo Prediction & Preview
BrazilA · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 19:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
BRAZILA
Remo vs Flamengo
Model pick: Flamengo (58%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.88 – 1.77
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Remo | Flamengo |
|---|
| League position | #19 (23 pts) | #2 (48 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.4 / 1.2 | 2.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 27% | 54% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.8 | 2.4 / 1.0 |
*Remo shown at home, Flamengo shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Remo — last 5
LDDLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 29% of home games go over 2.5.
Flamengo — last 5
DWWLW
On the road: clean sheet 29% of the time; 52% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Remo (home) | Flamengo (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 3-5-3 in 11 (1.4 / 1.2 goals per game) | 7-3-3 in 13 (2.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 38% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 29% | 52% |
| Top scorer | – | Henrique Bruno (4) |
BrazilA — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.39
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 25%
Over 2.5: 43%
BTTS: 48%
Use these BrazilA averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.88 vs 1.77):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Remo or draw (1X) | 42% |
| Double chance — Flamengo or draw (X2) | 82% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 27% / 73% |
| Remo clean sheet | 17% |
| Flamengo clean sheet | 41% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Flamengo is the model's most likely outcome at
58%. Despite playing away, Flamengo edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Remo vs Flamengo — FAQ
Who will win Remo vs Flamengo?
Our statistical model makes Flamengo the most likely result at 58%. Full probabilities: Remo 18%, draw 24%, Flamengo 58%.
Will both teams score in Remo vs Flamengo?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Remo vs Flamengo?
Expected goals are 0.88 for Remo and 1.77 for Flamengo — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Remo vs Flamengo?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (13%). Double chance for Remo or draw is 42%.