Remo vs Vitória Prediction & Preview
Serie A (Brazil) · Jul 26, 2026 · kickoff 22:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SERIE A (BRAZIL)
Remo vs Vitória
Model pick: Vitória (58%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.29 – 1.26
Total goals: 1.6
Over 2.5: 32%
Both teams score: 35%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Remo | Vitória |
|---|
| League position | #19 (18 pts) | #11 (26 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.2 / 1.2 | 0.7 / 2.2 |
| Win rate this season* | 22% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.8 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
*Remo shown at home, Vitória shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Remo — last 5
DDLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 34% of the time; 26% of home games go over 2.5.
Vitória — last 5
WLWWD
On the road: clean sheet 23% of the time; 48% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Remo (home) | Vitória (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-4-3 in 9 (1.2 / 1.2 goals per game) | 0-4-6 in 10 (0.7 / 2.2 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 34% | 23% |
| Both teams scored | 37% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 26% | 48% |
Serie A (Brazil) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.38
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 25%
Over 2.5: 43%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Serie A (Brazil) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.29 vs 1.26):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (27%) |
| Double chance — Remo or draw (1X) | 38% |
| Double chance — Vitória or draw (X2) | 92% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 46% / 54% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 7% / 93% |
| Remo clean sheet | 28% |
| Vitória clean sheet | 75% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Vitória is the model's most likely outcome at
58%. Despite playing away, Vitória edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (68% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Remo vs Vitória — FAQ
Who will win Remo vs Vitória?
Our statistical model makes Vitória the most likely result at 58%. Full probabilities: Remo 11%, draw 31%, Vitória 58%.
Will both teams score in Remo vs Vitória?
The model gives a 35% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Remo vs Vitória?
Expected goals are 0.29 for Remo and 1.26 for Vitória — about 1.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Remo vs Vitória?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (27%). Double chance for Remo or draw is 38%.