Resovia Rzeszów vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz Prediction & Preview
II Liga (Poland) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 18:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
II LIGA (POLAND)
Resovia Rzeszów vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Model pick: Sandecja Nowy Sącz (37%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.22 – 1.27
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Resovia Rzeszów | Sandecja Nowy Sącz |
|---|
| League position | #17 (2 pts) | #6 (8 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 3.5 | 0.5 / 1.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.8 | 1.6 / 0.8 |
*Resovia Rzeszów shown at home, Sandecja Nowy Sącz shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Resovia Rzeszów — last 5
LWLDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 31% of the time; 51% of home games go over 2.5.
Sandecja Nowy Sącz — last 5
WWLWD
On the road: clean sheet 17% of the time; 55% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Resovia Rzeszów (home) | Sandecja Nowy Sącz (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-1 in 2 (1.5 / 3.5 goals per game) | 1-0-1 in 2 (0.5 / 1.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 31% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 55% |
II Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.75
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 54%
Use these II Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.22 vs 1.27):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Resovia Rzeszów or draw (1X) | 62% |
| Double chance — Sandecja Nowy Sącz or draw (X2) | 65% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 71% / 29% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 24% / 76% |
| Resovia Rzeszów clean sheet | 28% |
| Sandecja Nowy Sącz clean sheet | 30% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Sandecja Nowy Sącz is the model's most likely outcome at
37%. Despite playing away, Sandecja Nowy Sącz edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Resovia Rzeszów vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz — FAQ
Who will win Resovia Rzeszów vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz?
Our statistical model makes Sandecja Nowy Sącz the most likely result at 37%. Full probabilities: Resovia Rzeszów 35%, draw 28%, Sandecja Nowy Sącz 37%.
Will both teams score in Resovia Rzeszów vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Resovia Rzeszów vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz?
Expected goals are 1.22 for Resovia Rzeszów and 1.27 for Sandecja Nowy Sącz — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Resovia Rzeszów vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Resovia Rzeszów or draw is 62%.