Resovia Rzeszów vs Tychy Prediction & Preview
II Liga (Poland) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
II LIGA (POLAND)
Resovia Rzeszów vs Tychy
Model pick: Tychy (53%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.62 – 1.41
Total goals: 2.0
Over 2.5: 41%
Both teams score: 45%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Resovia Rzeszów | Tychy |
|---|
| League position | #16 (0 pts) | #5 (7 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 5.0 | 1.5 / 0.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 2.0 | 1.2 / 0.6 |
*Resovia Rzeszów shown at home, Tychy shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Resovia Rzeszów — last 5
WLLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 31% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Tychy — last 5
DWWWD
On the road: clean sheet 67% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Resovia Rzeszów (home) | Tychy (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-1 in 1 (1.0 / 5.0 goals per game) | 2-0-0 in 2 (1.5 / 0.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 31% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 54% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 33% |
II Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.75
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 54%
Use these II Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.62 vs 1.41):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (19%) |
| Double chance — Resovia Rzeszów or draw (1X) | 44% |
| Double chance — Tychy or draw (X2) | 84% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 60% / 40% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 15% / 85% |
| Resovia Rzeszów clean sheet | 24% |
| Tychy clean sheet | 54% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Tychy is the model's most likely outcome at
53%. Despite playing away, Tychy edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (59% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Resovia Rzeszów vs Tychy — FAQ
Who will win Resovia Rzeszów vs Tychy?
Our statistical model makes Tychy the most likely result at 53%. Full probabilities: Resovia Rzeszów 18%, draw 29%, Tychy 53%.
Will both teams score in Resovia Rzeszów vs Tychy?
The model gives a 45% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Resovia Rzeszów vs Tychy?
Expected goals are 0.62 for Resovia Rzeszów and 1.41 for Tychy — about 2.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Resovia Rzeszów vs Tychy?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (19%). Double chance for Resovia Rzeszów or draw is 44%.