RFC Seraing vs Lokeren-Temse Prediction & Preview
Second Division (Belgium) · Aug 14, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SECOND DIVISION (BELGIUM)
RFC Seraing vs Lokeren-Temse
Model pick: Lokeren-Temse (41%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.11 – 1.44
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| RFC Seraing | Lokeren-Temse |
|---|
| League position | #11 (0 pts) | #7 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.4 | 3.0 / 0.6 |
*RFC Seraing shown at home, Lokeren-Temse shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
RFC Seraing — last 5
LLLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 20% of the time; 49% of home games go over 2.5.
Lokeren-Temse — last 5
LWWWW
On the road: clean sheet 26% of the time; 47% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | RFC Seraing (home) | Lokeren-Temse (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 20% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 48% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 47% |
Second Division (Belgium) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.8
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 56%
Use these Second Division (Belgium) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.11 vs 1.44):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — RFC Seraing or draw (1X) | 55% |
| Double chance — Lokeren-Temse or draw (X2) | 71% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 72% / 28% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 25% / 75% |
| RFC Seraing clean sheet | 24% |
| Lokeren-Temse clean sheet | 33% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Lokeren-Temse is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. Despite playing away, Lokeren-Temse edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ RFC Seraing vs Lokeren-Temse — FAQ
Who will win RFC Seraing vs Lokeren-Temse?
Our statistical model makes Lokeren-Temse the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: RFC Seraing 33%, draw 26%, Lokeren-Temse 41%.
Will both teams score in RFC Seraing vs Lokeren-Temse?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in RFC Seraing vs Lokeren-Temse?
Expected goals are 1.11 for RFC Seraing and 1.44 for Lokeren-Temse — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in RFC Seraing vs Lokeren-Temse?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for RFC Seraing or draw is 55%.