Örgryte vs Halmstad Prediction & Preview
Allsvenskan (Sweden) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ALLSVENSKAN (SWEDEN)
Örgryte vs Halmstad
Model pick: Örgryte (44%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.75 – 1.22
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 55%
Both teams score: 57%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Örgryte | Halmstad |
|---|
| League position | #15 (13 pts) | #16 (7 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.8 / 2.0 | 0.7 / 2.3 |
| Win rate this season* | 12% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.8 | 0.2 / 2.0 |
*Örgryte shown at home, Halmstad shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Örgryte — last 5
DLWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 29% of the time; 53% of home games go over 2.5.
Halmstad — last 5
LLDLL
On the road: clean sheet 30% of the time; 45% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Örgryte (home) | Halmstad (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-4-3 in 8 (1.8 / 2.0 goals per game) | 0-2-5 in 7 (0.7 / 2.3 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 29% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 45% |
Allsvenskan (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.81
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Allsvenskan (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.75 vs 1.22):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Örgryte or draw (1X) | 73% |
| Double chance — Halmstad or draw (X2) | 50% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 80% / 20% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 35% / 65% |
| Örgryte clean sheet | 30% |
| Halmstad clean sheet | 17% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Örgryte is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. Örgryte are backed at home, where they average 1.7 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.0, this shapes as an open game (55% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Örgryte vs Halmstad — FAQ
Who will win Örgryte vs Halmstad?
Our statistical model makes Örgryte the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Örgryte 44%, draw 26%, Halmstad 30%.
Will both teams score in Örgryte vs Halmstad?
The model gives a 57% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Örgryte vs Halmstad?
Expected goals are 1.75 for Örgryte and 1.22 for Halmstad — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Örgryte vs Halmstad?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Örgryte or draw is 73%.