Rheindorf Altach vs Hartberg Prediction & Preview
Bundesliga (Austria) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
BUNDESLIGA (AUSTRIA)
Rheindorf Altach vs Hartberg
Model pick: Rheindorf Altach (46%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.03 – 1.11
Total goals: 2.1
Over 2.5: 43%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Rheindorf Altach | Hartberg |
|---|
| League position | #7 (3 pts) | #12 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 3.0 / 1.0 | 0.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
*Rheindorf Altach shown at home, Hartberg shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Rheindorf Altach — last 5
WWLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 26% of the time; 45% of home games go over 2.5.
Hartberg — last 5
WLWLL
On the road: clean sheet 29% of the time; 56% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Rheindorf Altach (home) | Hartberg (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (3.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 26% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 56% |
Bundesliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.88
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Bundesliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.03 vs 1.11):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Rheindorf Altach or draw (1X) | 63% |
| Double chance — Hartberg or draw (X2) | 67% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 63% / 37% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 17% / 83% |
| Rheindorf Altach clean sheet | 33% |
| Hartberg clean sheet | 36% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Rheindorf Altach is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Rheindorf Altach are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (57% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Rheindorf Altach vs Hartberg — FAQ
Who will win Rheindorf Altach vs Hartberg?
Our statistical model makes Rheindorf Altach the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Rheindorf Altach 46%, draw 27%, Hartberg 27%.
Will both teams score in Rheindorf Altach vs Hartberg?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Rheindorf Altach vs Hartberg?
Expected goals are 1.03 for Rheindorf Altach and 1.11 for Hartberg — about 2.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Rheindorf Altach vs Hartberg?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Rheindorf Altach or draw is 63%.