Rhyl vs Bala Prediction & Preview
Feeder Leagues (Wales) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 18:45 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FEEDER LEAGUES (WALES)
Rhyl vs Bala
Model pick: Bala (61%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.46 – 1.58
Total goals: 2.0
Over 2.5: 41%
Both teams score: 42%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Rhyl | Bala |
|---|
| League position | #8 (4 pts) | #4 (9 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.5 / 1.5 | 2.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.8 | 2.33 / 0.67 |
*Rhyl shown at home, Bala shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Rhyl — last 5
LLDLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Bala — last 5
WWW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Rhyl (home) | Bala (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-1-0 in 2 (2.5 / 1.5 goals per game) | 1-0-0 in 1 (2.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
Feeder Leagues (Wales) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.43
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 15%
Away wins: 40%
Over 2.5: 72%
BTTS: 60%
Use these Feeder Leagues (Wales) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.46 vs 1.58):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (21%) |
| Double chance — Rhyl or draw (1X) | 35% |
| Double chance — Bala or draw (X2) | 90% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 60% / 40% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 15% / 85% |
| Rhyl clean sheet | 21% |
| Bala clean sheet | 63% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Bala is the model's most likely outcome at
61%. Despite playing away, Bala edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (59% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Rhyl vs Bala — FAQ
Who will win Rhyl vs Bala?
Our statistical model makes Bala the most likely result at 61%. Full probabilities: Rhyl 13%, draw 26%, Bala 61%.
Will both teams score in Rhyl vs Bala?
The model gives a 42% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Rhyl vs Bala?
Expected goals are 0.46 for Rhyl and 1.58 for Bala — about 2.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Rhyl vs Bala?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (21%). Double chance for Rhyl or draw is 35%.