Ried vs Grodig Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Austria) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (AUSTRIA)
Ried vs Grodig
Model pick: Grodig (62%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.09 – 1.14
Total goals: 1.2
Over 2.5: 26%
Both teams score: 23%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ried | Grodig |
|---|
| League position | #13 (25 pts) | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 1.8 | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 40% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.5 / 1.75 | 1.5 / 1.25 |
*Ried shown at home, Grodig shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ried — last 5
LWDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Grodig — last 5
LWWD
On the road: clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ried (home) | Grodig (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 6-2-7 in 15 (1.5 / 1.8 goals per game) | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
Regionalliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.62
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 31%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 49%
Use these Regionalliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.09 vs 1.14):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (33%) |
| Double chance — Ried or draw (1X) | 35% |
| Double chance — Grodig or draw (X2) | 97% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 68% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 35% / 65% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 4% / 96% |
| Ried clean sheet | 32% |
| Grodig clean sheet | 91% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Grodig is the model's most likely outcome at
62%. Despite playing away, Grodig edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (74% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Ried vs Grodig — FAQ
Who will win Ried vs Grodig?
Our statistical model makes Grodig the most likely result at 62%. Full probabilities: Ried 4%, draw 34%, Grodig 62%.
Will both teams score in Ried vs Grodig?
The model gives a 23% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Ried vs Grodig?
Expected goals are 0.09 for Ried and 1.14 for Grodig — about 1.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ried vs Grodig?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (33%). Double chance for Ried or draw is 35%.