Ried vs Kuchl Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Austria) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (AUSTRIA)
Ried vs Kuchl
Model pick: Ried (81%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.61 – 0.88
Total goals: 4.5
Over 2.5: 71%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ried | Kuchl |
|---|
| League position | #13 (25 pts) | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 1.8 | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 40% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.4 | 2.0 / 1.6 |
*Ried shown at home, Kuchl shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ried — last 5
WDWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Kuchl — last 5
WDWLD
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ried (home) | Kuchl (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 6-2-7 in 15 (1.5 / 1.8 goals per game) | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 33% |
Regionalliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.35
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Regionalliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.61 vs 0.88):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-0 (9%) |
| Double chance — Ried or draw (1X) | 95% |
| Double chance — Kuchl or draw (X2) | 14% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 91% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 94% / 6% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 65% / 35% |
| Ried clean sheet | 41% |
| Kuchl clean sheet | 3% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ried is the model's most likely outcome at
81%. Ried are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.5, this shapes as an open game (71% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Ried vs Kuchl — FAQ
Who will win Ried vs Kuchl?
Our statistical model makes Ried the most likely result at 81%. Full probabilities: Ried 81%, draw 12%, Kuchl 7%.
Will both teams score in Ried vs Kuchl?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Ried vs Kuchl?
Expected goals are 3.61 for Ried and 0.88 for Kuchl — about 4.5 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ried vs Kuchl?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-0 (9%). Double chance for Ried or draw is 95%.