Ried vs Rapid Wien Prediction & Preview
Bundesliga (Austria) · Aug 09, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
BUNDESLIGA (AUSTRIA)
Ried vs Rapid Wien
Model pick: Rapid Wien (40%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.07 – 1.35
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 47%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ried | Rapid Wien |
|---|
| League position | #5 (1 pts) | #3 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 1.4 | 3.2 / 1.0 |
*Ried shown at home, Rapid Wien shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ried — last 5
WWLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 35% of the time; 58% of home games go over 2.5.
Rapid Wien — last 5
WWWWW
On the road: clean sheet 24% of the time; 56% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ried (home) | Rapid Wien (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 35% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 56% |
Bundesliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.87
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Bundesliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.07 vs 1.35):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Ried or draw (1X) | 57% |
| Double chance — Rapid Wien or draw (X2) | 70% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 70% / 30% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 23% / 77% |
| Ried clean sheet | 26% |
| Rapid Wien clean sheet | 34% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Rapid Wien is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Despite playing away, Rapid Wien edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (53% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Ried vs Rapid Wien — FAQ
Who will win Ried vs Rapid Wien?
Our statistical model makes Rapid Wien the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Ried 32%, draw 28%, Rapid Wien 40%.
Will both teams score in Ried vs Rapid Wien?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Ried vs Rapid Wien?
Expected goals are 1.07 for Ried and 1.35 for Rapid Wien — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ried vs Rapid Wien?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Ried or draw is 57%.