Rodina Moscow 3 vs Spartak Tambov Prediction & Preview
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FNL 2 DIVISION B (RUSSIA)
Rodina Moscow 3 vs Spartak Tambov
Model pick: Rodina Moscow 3 (41%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.32 – 1.06
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Rodina Moscow 3 | Spartak Tambov |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
*Rodina Moscow 3 shown at home, Spartak Tambov shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Rodina Moscow 3 — last 5
WWLDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 75% of home games go over 2.5.
Spartak Tambov — last 5
WDLLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Rodina Moscow 3 (home) | Spartak Tambov (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 67% |
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.03
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 59%
Use these FNL 2 Division B (Russia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.32 vs 1.06):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Rodina Moscow 3 or draw (1X) | 70% |
| Double chance — Spartak Tambov or draw (X2) | 57% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 69% / 31% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 22% / 78% |
| Rodina Moscow 3 clean sheet | 35% |
| Spartak Tambov clean sheet | 27% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Rodina Moscow 3 is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. Rodina Moscow 3 are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Rodina Moscow 3 vs Spartak Tambov — FAQ
Who will win Rodina Moscow 3 vs Spartak Tambov?
Our statistical model makes Rodina Moscow 3 the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: Rodina Moscow 3 41%, draw 28%, Spartak Tambov 30%.
Will both teams score in Rodina Moscow 3 vs Spartak Tambov?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Rodina Moscow 3 vs Spartak Tambov?
Expected goals are 1.32 for Rodina Moscow 3 and 1.06 for Spartak Tambov — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Rodina Moscow 3 vs Spartak Tambov?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Rodina Moscow 3 or draw is 70%.