Rodinghausen vs Bonner Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Rodinghausen vs Bonner
Model pick: Bonner (62%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.33 – 1.45
Total goals: 1.8
Over 2.5: 37%
Both teams score: 37%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Rodinghausen | Bonner |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 2.0 |
*Rodinghausen shown at home, Bonner shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Rodinghausen — last 5
WWLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Bonner — last 5
WLLLL
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Rodinghausen (home) | Bonner (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 67% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.35
Home wins: 37%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.33 vs 1.45):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (24%) |
| Double chance — Rodinghausen or draw (1X) | 34% |
| Double chance — Bonner or draw (X2) | 92% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 53% / 47% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 11% / 89% |
| Rodinghausen clean sheet | 23% |
| Bonner clean sheet | 72% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Bonner is the model's most likely outcome at
62%. Despite playing away, Bonner edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (63% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Rodinghausen vs Bonner — FAQ
Who will win Rodinghausen vs Bonner?
Our statistical model makes Bonner the most likely result at 62%. Full probabilities: Rodinghausen 10%, draw 28%, Bonner 62%.
Will both teams score in Rodinghausen vs Bonner?
The model gives a 37% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Rodinghausen vs Bonner?
Expected goals are 0.33 for Rodinghausen and 1.45 for Bonner — about 1.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Rodinghausen vs Bonner?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (24%). Double chance for Rodinghausen or draw is 34%.