Rodinghausen vs Paderborn II Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Rodinghausen vs Paderborn II
Model pick: Draw (67%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.08 – 0.28
Total goals: 0.4
Over 2.5: 5%
Both teams score: 14%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Rodinghausen | Paderborn II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.4 | 2.2 / 1.4 |
*Rodinghausen shown at home, Paderborn II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Rodinghausen — last 5
WLWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Paderborn II — last 5
WLWWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Rodinghausen (home) | Paderborn II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.23
Home wins: 35%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.08 vs 0.28):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (70%) |
| Double chance — Rodinghausen or draw (1X) | 77% |
| Double chance — Paderborn II or draw (X2) | 94% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 29% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 5% / 95% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Rodinghausen clean sheet | 76% |
| Paderborn II clean sheet | 92% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
67%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (95% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Rodinghausen vs Paderborn II — FAQ
Who will win Rodinghausen vs Paderborn II?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 67%. Full probabilities: Rodinghausen 8%, draw 67%, Paderborn II 25%.
Will both teams score in Rodinghausen vs Paderborn II?
The model gives a 14% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Rodinghausen vs Paderborn II?
Expected goals are 0.08 for Rodinghausen and 0.28 for Paderborn II — about 0.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Rodinghausen vs Paderborn II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (70%). Double chance for Rodinghausen or draw is 77%.