Rokycany vs Spartak Pribram Prediction & Preview
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 4 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Rokycany vs Spartak Pribram
Model pick: Spartak Pribram (58%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.55 – 1.58
Total goals: 2.1
Over 2.5: 43%
Both teams score: 44%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Rokycany | Spartak Pribram |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.2 | 3.6 / 1.6 |
*Rokycany shown at home, Spartak Pribram shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Rokycany — last 5
WLDLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 25% of home games go over 2.5.
Spartak Pribram — last 5
WWLWW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Rokycany (home) | Spartak Pribram (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 100% |
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.72
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 37%
Over 2.5: 75%
BTTS: 67%
Use these Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.55 vs 1.58):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (19%) |
| Double chance — Rokycany or draw (1X) | 37% |
| Double chance — Spartak Pribram or draw (X2) | 87% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 63% / 37% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 17% / 83% |
| Rokycany clean sheet | 21% |
| Spartak Pribram clean sheet | 58% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Spartak Pribram is the model's most likely outcome at
58%. Despite playing away, Spartak Pribram edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (57% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Rokycany vs Spartak Pribram — FAQ
Who will win Rokycany vs Spartak Pribram?
Our statistical model makes Spartak Pribram the most likely result at 58%. Full probabilities: Rokycany 15%, draw 26%, Spartak Pribram 58%.
Will both teams score in Rokycany vs Spartak Pribram?
The model gives a 44% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Rokycany vs Spartak Pribram?
Expected goals are 0.55 for Rokycany and 1.58 for Spartak Pribram — about 2.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Rokycany vs Spartak Pribram?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (19%). Double chance for Rokycany or draw is 37%.