Rosenheim vs Deisenhofen Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 14, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Rosenheim vs Deisenhofen
Model pick: Rosenheim (46%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.91 – 1.47
Total goals: 3.4
Over 2.5: 60%
Both teams score: 60%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Rosenheim | Deisenhofen |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.33 / 2.0 | 1.0 / 1.25 |
*Rosenheim shown at home, Deisenhofen shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Rosenheim — last 5
DLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Deisenhofen — last 5
LWDL
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Rosenheim (home) | Deisenhofen (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.05
Home wins: 35%
Draws: 29%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.91 vs 1.47):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Rosenheim or draw (1X) | 70% |
| Double chance — Deisenhofen or draw (X2) | 52% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 85% / 15% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 44% / 56% |
| Rosenheim clean sheet | 23% |
| Deisenhofen clean sheet | 15% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Rosenheim is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Rosenheim are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.4, this shapes as an open game (60% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Rosenheim vs Deisenhofen — FAQ
Who will win Rosenheim vs Deisenhofen?
Our statistical model makes Rosenheim the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Rosenheim 46%, draw 24%, Deisenhofen 30%.
Will both teams score in Rosenheim vs Deisenhofen?
The model gives a 60% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Rosenheim vs Deisenhofen?
Expected goals are 1.91 for Rosenheim and 1.47 for Deisenhofen — about 3.4 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Rosenheim vs Deisenhofen?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Rosenheim or draw is 70%.