Rosenheim vs Gundelfingen Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Rosenheim vs Gundelfingen
Model pick: Rosenheim (56%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.9 – 1.8
Total goals: 4.7
Over 2.5: 73%
Both teams score: 67%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Rosenheim | Gundelfingen |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
*Rosenheim shown at home, Gundelfingen shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Rosenheim — last 5
DLDDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Gundelfingen — last 5
LWDWD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Rosenheim (home) | Gundelfingen (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 33% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.43
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.9 vs 1.8):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (7%) |
| Double chance — Rosenheim or draw (1X) | 77% |
| Double chance — Gundelfingen or draw (X2) | 40% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 83% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 95% / 5% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 69% / 31% |
| Rosenheim clean sheet | 17% |
| Gundelfingen clean sheet | 6% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Rosenheim is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. Rosenheim are backed at home, where they average 3.3 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.7, this shapes as an open game (73% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Rosenheim vs Gundelfingen — FAQ
Who will win Rosenheim vs Gundelfingen?
Our statistical model makes Rosenheim the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: Rosenheim 56%, draw 19%, Gundelfingen 24%.
Will both teams score in Rosenheim vs Gundelfingen?
The model gives a 67% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Rosenheim vs Gundelfingen?
Expected goals are 2.9 for Rosenheim and 1.8 for Gundelfingen — about 4.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Rosenheim vs Gundelfingen?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (7%). Double chance for Rosenheim or draw is 77%.