ROW Rybnik vs Carina Gubin Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 19, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
ROW Rybnik vs Carina Gubin
Model pick: ROW Rybnik (85%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.77 – 0.73
Total goals: 4.5
Over 2.5: 71%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| ROW Rybnik | Carina Gubin |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.25 / 1.0 | 1.6 / 1.4 |
*ROW Rybnik shown at home, Carina Gubin shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
ROW Rybnik — last 5
LWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Carina Gubin — last 5
DWDWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | ROW Rybnik (home) | Carina Gubin (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.15
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 62%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.77 vs 0.73):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-0 (10%) |
| Double chance — ROW Rybnik or draw (1X) | 97% |
| Double chance — Carina Gubin or draw (X2) | 11% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 93% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 94% / 6% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 65% / 35% |
| ROW Rybnik clean sheet | 48% |
| Carina Gubin clean sheet | 2% |
🎯 Our Verdict
ROW Rybnik is the model's most likely outcome at
85%. ROW Rybnik are backed at home, where they average 3.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.5, this shapes as an open game (71% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ ROW Rybnik vs Carina Gubin — FAQ
Who will win ROW Rybnik vs Carina Gubin?
Our statistical model makes ROW Rybnik the most likely result at 85%. Full probabilities: ROW Rybnik 85%, draw 10%, Carina Gubin 5%.
Will both teams score in ROW Rybnik vs Carina Gubin?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in ROW Rybnik vs Carina Gubin?
Expected goals are 3.77 for ROW Rybnik and 0.73 for Carina Gubin — about 4.5 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in ROW Rybnik vs Carina Gubin?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-0 (10%). Double chance for ROW Rybnik or draw is 97%.