ROW Rybnik vs Górnik Polkowice Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
ROW Rybnik vs Górnik Polkowice
Model pick: ROW Rybnik (84%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 5.55 – 1.81
Total goals: 7.4
Over 2.5: 84%
Both teams score: 68%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| ROW Rybnik | Górnik Polkowice |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.6 / 1.4 | 2.2 / 2.0 |
*ROW Rybnik shown at home, Górnik Polkowice shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
ROW Rybnik — last 5
WLWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 40% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Górnik Polkowice — last 5
WLDDW
On the road: clean sheet 23% of the time; 61% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | ROW Rybnik (home) | Górnik Polkowice (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 40% | 23% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 61% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.24
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 63%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (5.55 vs 1.81):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 5-1 (6%) |
| Double chance — ROW Rybnik or draw (1X) | 94% |
| Double chance — Górnik Polkowice or draw (X2) | 12% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 93% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 99% / 1% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 93% / 7% |
| ROW Rybnik clean sheet | 16% |
| Górnik Polkowice clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
ROW Rybnik is the model's most likely outcome at
84%. ROW Rybnik are backed at home, where they average 3.4 goals a game. With expected goals of 7.4, this shapes as an open game (84% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ ROW Rybnik vs Górnik Polkowice — FAQ
Who will win ROW Rybnik vs Górnik Polkowice?
Our statistical model makes ROW Rybnik the most likely result at 84%. Full probabilities: ROW Rybnik 84%, draw 8%, Górnik Polkowice 8%.
Will both teams score in ROW Rybnik vs Górnik Polkowice?
The model gives a 68% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in ROW Rybnik vs Górnik Polkowice?
Expected goals are 5.55 for ROW Rybnik and 1.81 for Górnik Polkowice — about 7.4 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in ROW Rybnik vs Górnik Polkowice?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 5-1 (6%). Double chance for ROW Rybnik or draw is 94%.