ROW Rybnik vs Zagłębie Sosnowiec Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
ROW Rybnik vs Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Model pick: Zagłębie Sosnowiec (66%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.26 – 1.57
Total goals: 1.8
Over 2.5: 38%
Both teams score: 35%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| ROW Rybnik | Zagłębie Sosnowiec |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.25 / 1.0 | 1.4 / 0.8 |
*ROW Rybnik shown at home, Zagłębie Sosnowiec shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
ROW Rybnik — last 5
LWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Zagłębie Sosnowiec — last 5
WDDLW
On the road: clean sheet 24% of the time; 49% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | ROW Rybnik (home) | Zagłębie Sosnowiec (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 49% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.15
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 62%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.26 vs 1.57):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (25%) |
| Double chance — ROW Rybnik or draw (1X) | 29% |
| Double chance — Zagłębie Sosnowiec or draw (X2) | 94% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 55% / 45% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 11% / 89% |
| ROW Rybnik clean sheet | 21% |
| Zagłębie Sosnowiec clean sheet | 77% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Zagłębie Sosnowiec is the model's most likely outcome at
66%. Despite playing away, Zagłębie Sosnowiec edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (62% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ ROW Rybnik vs Zagłębie Sosnowiec — FAQ
Who will win ROW Rybnik vs Zagłębie Sosnowiec?
Our statistical model makes Zagłębie Sosnowiec the most likely result at 66%. Full probabilities: ROW Rybnik 8%, draw 26%, Zagłębie Sosnowiec 66%.
Will both teams score in ROW Rybnik vs Zagłębie Sosnowiec?
The model gives a 35% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in ROW Rybnik vs Zagłębie Sosnowiec?
Expected goals are 0.26 for ROW Rybnik and 1.57 for Zagłębie Sosnowiec — about 1.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in ROW Rybnik vs Zagłębie Sosnowiec?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (25%). Double chance for ROW Rybnik or draw is 29%.