Rozova Dolina vs Maritsa Plovdiv Prediction & Preview
V AFG (Bulgaria) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
V AFG (BULGARIA)
Rozova Dolina vs Maritsa Plovdiv
Model pick: Rozova Dolina (57%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.07 – 0.17
Total goals: 1.2
Over 2.5: 26%
Both teams score: 28%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Rozova Dolina | Maritsa Plovdiv |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.25 / 1.75 | 0.33 / 1.67 |
*Rozova Dolina shown at home, Maritsa Plovdiv shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Rozova Dolina — last 5
LDDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Maritsa Plovdiv — last 5
DLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Rozova Dolina (home) | Maritsa Plovdiv (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
V AFG (Bulgaria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.08
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 60%
Use these V AFG (Bulgaria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.07 vs 0.17):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (31%) |
| Double chance — Rozova Dolina or draw (1X) | 94% |
| Double chance — Maritsa Plovdiv or draw (X2) | 40% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 66% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 35% / 65% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 4% / 96% |
| Rozova Dolina clean sheet | 84% |
| Maritsa Plovdiv clean sheet | 34% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Rozova Dolina is the model's most likely outcome at
57%. Rozova Dolina are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (74% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Rozova Dolina vs Maritsa Plovdiv — FAQ
Who will win Rozova Dolina vs Maritsa Plovdiv?
Our statistical model makes Rozova Dolina the most likely result at 57%. Full probabilities: Rozova Dolina 57%, draw 36%, Maritsa Plovdiv 8%.
Will both teams score in Rozova Dolina vs Maritsa Plovdiv?
The model gives a 28% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Rozova Dolina vs Maritsa Plovdiv?
Expected goals are 1.07 for Rozova Dolina and 0.17 for Maritsa Plovdiv — about 1.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Rozova Dolina vs Maritsa Plovdiv?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (31%). Double chance for Rozova Dolina or draw is 94%.