RSC Anderlecht II vs Excelsior Virton Prediction & Preview
Second Division (Belgium) · Aug 21, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SECOND DIVISION (BELGIUM)
RSC Anderlecht II vs Excelsior Virton
Model pick: RSC Anderlecht II (42%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.57 – 1.28
Total goals: 2.9
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| RSC Anderlecht II | Excelsior Virton |
|---|
| League position | #11 (0 pts) | #2 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.8 | 1.6 / 0.8 |
*RSC Anderlecht II shown at home, Excelsior Virton shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
RSC Anderlecht II — last 5
LLWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 18% of the time; 66% of home games go over 2.5.
Excelsior Virton — last 5
WDDDW
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 57% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | RSC Anderlecht II (home) | Excelsior Virton (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 18% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 63% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 57% |
| Top scorer | Devon De Corte (6) | – |
Second Division (Belgium) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.8
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 56%
Use these Second Division (Belgium) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.57 vs 1.28):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — RSC Anderlecht II or draw (1X) | 69% |
| Double chance — Excelsior Virton or draw (X2) | 56% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 78% / 22% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 32% / 68% |
| RSC Anderlecht II clean sheet | 28% |
| Excelsior Virton clean sheet | 21% |
🎯 Our Verdict
RSC Anderlecht II is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. RSC Anderlecht II are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ RSC Anderlecht II vs Excelsior Virton — FAQ
Who will win RSC Anderlecht II vs Excelsior Virton?
Our statistical model makes RSC Anderlecht II the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: RSC Anderlecht II 42%, draw 26%, Excelsior Virton 32%.
Will both teams score in RSC Anderlecht II vs Excelsior Virton?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in RSC Anderlecht II vs Excelsior Virton?
Expected goals are 1.57 for RSC Anderlecht II and 1.28 for Excelsior Virton — about 2.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in RSC Anderlecht II vs Excelsior Virton?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for RSC Anderlecht II or draw is 69%.