Ružomberok vs Dukla Banská Bystrica Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Slovakia) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (SLOVAKIA)
Ružomberok vs Dukla Banská Bystrica
Model pick: Ružomberok (44%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.62 – 1.24
Total goals: 2.9
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ružomberok | Dukla Banská Bystrica |
|---|
| League position | #11 (1 pts) | #12 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 2.5 | 0.0 / 2.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 2.8 | 0.8 / 2.6 |
*Ružomberok shown at home, Dukla Banská Bystrica shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ružomberok — last 5
LDLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 38% of the time; 45% of home games go over 2.5.
Dukla Banská Bystrica — last 5
WLLLL
On the road: clean sheet 15% of the time; 62% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ružomberok (home) | Dukla Banská Bystrica (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-1 in 2 (1.0 / 2.5 goals per game) | 0-0-2 in 2 (0.0 / 2.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 38% | 15% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 62% |
Super Liga (Slovakia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.77
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Super Liga (Slovakia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.62 vs 1.24):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Ružomberok or draw (1X) | 71% |
| Double chance — Dukla Banská Bystrica or draw (X2) | 54% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 78% / 22% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 32% / 68% |
| Ružomberok clean sheet | 29% |
| Dukla Banská Bystrica clean sheet | 20% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ružomberok is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. Ružomberok are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Ružomberok vs Dukla Banská Bystrica — FAQ
Who will win Ružomberok vs Dukla Banská Bystrica?
Our statistical model makes Ružomberok the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Ružomberok 44%, draw 26%, Dukla Banská Bystrica 30%.
Will both teams score in Ružomberok vs Dukla Banská Bystrica?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Ružomberok vs Dukla Banská Bystrica?
Expected goals are 1.62 for Ružomberok and 1.24 for Dukla Banská Bystrica — about 2.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ružomberok vs Dukla Banská Bystrica?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Ružomberok or draw is 71%.