Rubin Yalta vs Maykop Prediction & Preview
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FNL 2 DIVISION B (RUSSIA)
Rubin Yalta vs Maykop
Model pick: Rubin Yalta (58%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.95 – 0.9
Total goals: 2.9
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Rubin Yalta | Maykop |
|---|
| League position | #4 (31 pts) | #9 (24 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.7 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 33% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.0 | 1.0 / 1.4 |
*Rubin Yalta shown at home, Maykop shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Rubin Yalta — last 5
DWDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Maykop — last 5
LLWDD
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Rubin Yalta (home) | Maykop (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-3-2 in 10 (1.7 / 1.1 goals per game) | 3-3-3 in 9 (0.9 / 0.9 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.01
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 60%
Use these FNL 2 Division B (Russia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.95 vs 0.9):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (11%) |
| Double chance — Rubin Yalta or draw (1X) | 83% |
| Double chance — Maykop or draw (X2) | 38% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 78% / 22% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 32% / 68% |
| Rubin Yalta clean sheet | 41% |
| Maykop clean sheet | 14% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Rubin Yalta is the model's most likely outcome at
58%. Rubin Yalta are backed at home, where they average 2.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Rubin Yalta vs Maykop — FAQ
Who will win Rubin Yalta vs Maykop?
Our statistical model makes Rubin Yalta the most likely result at 58%. Full probabilities: Rubin Yalta 58%, draw 23%, Maykop 19%.
Will both teams score in Rubin Yalta vs Maykop?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Rubin Yalta vs Maykop?
Expected goals are 1.95 for Rubin Yalta and 0.9 for Maykop — about 2.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Rubin Yalta vs Maykop?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (11%). Double chance for Rubin Yalta or draw is 83%.