Ruthin vs Mold Alexandra Prediction & Preview
Feeder Leagues (Wales) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 19:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FEEDER LEAGUES (WALES)
Ruthin vs Mold Alexandra
Model pick: Ruthin (38%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.1 – 0.94
Total goals: 2.0
Over 2.5: 41%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ruthin | Mold Alexandra |
|---|
| League position | #9 (4 pts) | #6 (7 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 1.5 | 2.0 / 3.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.5 / 1.75 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
*Ruthin shown at home, Mold Alexandra shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ruthin — last 5
LLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Mold Alexandra — last 5
DDLWW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ruthin (home) | Mold Alexandra (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-1 in 2 (1.5 / 1.5 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (2.0 / 3.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
Feeder Leagues (Wales) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.43
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 15%
Away wins: 40%
Over 2.5: 72%
BTTS: 60%
Use these Feeder Leagues (Wales) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.1 vs 0.94):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (14%) |
| Double chance — Ruthin or draw (1X) | 69% |
| Double chance — Mold Alexandra or draw (X2) | 61% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 60% / 40% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 15% / 85% |
| Ruthin clean sheet | 39% |
| Mold Alexandra clean sheet | 33% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ruthin is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. Ruthin are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (59% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Ruthin vs Mold Alexandra — FAQ
Who will win Ruthin vs Mold Alexandra?
Our statistical model makes Ruthin the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: Ruthin 38%, draw 31%, Mold Alexandra 31%.
Will both teams score in Ruthin vs Mold Alexandra?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Ruthin vs Mold Alexandra?
Expected goals are 1.1 for Ruthin and 0.94 for Mold Alexandra — about 2.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ruthin vs Mold Alexandra?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (14%). Double chance for Ruthin or draw is 69%.