Ryazan vs Rodina Moscow 3 Prediction & Preview
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FNL 2 DIVISION B (RUSSIA)
Ryazan vs Rodina Moscow 3
Model pick: Ryazan (95%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.63 – 0.06
Total goals: 3.7
Over 2.5: 63%
Both teams score: 22%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ryazan | Rodina Moscow 3 |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.67 / 0.0 | 2.25 / 1.75 |
*Ryazan shown at home, Rodina Moscow 3 shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ryazan — last 5
WWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Rodina Moscow 3 — last 5
DLWW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ryazan (home) | Rodina Moscow 3 (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.12
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 60%
Use these FNL 2 Division B (Russia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.63 vs 0.06):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-0 (20%) |
| Double chance — Ryazan or draw (1X) | 100% |
| Double chance — Rodina Moscow 3 or draw (X2) | 3% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 97% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 88% / 12% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 50% / 50% |
| Ryazan clean sheet | 94% |
| Rodina Moscow 3 clean sheet | 3% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ryazan is the model's most likely outcome at
95%. Ryazan are backed at home, where they average 3.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.7, this shapes as an open game (63% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Ryazan vs Rodina Moscow 3 — FAQ
Who will win Ryazan vs Rodina Moscow 3?
Our statistical model makes Ryazan the most likely result at 95%. Full probabilities: Ryazan 95%, draw 5%, Rodina Moscow 3 0%.
Will both teams score in Ryazan vs Rodina Moscow 3?
The model gives a 22% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Ryazan vs Rodina Moscow 3?
Expected goals are 3.63 for Ryazan and 0.06 for Rodina Moscow 3 — about 3.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ryazan vs Rodina Moscow 3?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-0 (20%). Double chance for Ryazan or draw is 100%.