Südtirol vs Virtus Entella Prediction & Preview
Serie B (Italy) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SERIE B (ITALY)
Südtirol vs Virtus Entella
Model pick: Südtirol (46%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.32 – 0.83
Total goals: 2.1
Over 2.5: 43%
Both teams score: 46%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Südtirol | Virtus Entella |
|---|
| League position | #12 (0 pts) | #20 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
*Südtirol shown at home, Virtus Entella shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Südtirol — last 5
DDWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 45% of the time; 36% of home games go over 2.5.
Virtus Entella — last 5
LWLWL
On the road: clean sheet 29% of the time; 37% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Südtirol (home) | Virtus Entella (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 45% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 42% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | 37% |
Serie B (Italy) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.45
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 32%
Away wins: 26%
Over 2.5: 44%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Serie B (Italy) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.32 vs 0.83):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (15%) |
| Double chance — Südtirol or draw (1X) | 76% |
| Double chance — Virtus Entella or draw (X2) | 52% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 63% / 37% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 17% / 83% |
| Südtirol clean sheet | 44% |
| Virtus Entella clean sheet | 27% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Südtirol is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Südtirol are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (57% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Südtirol vs Virtus Entella — FAQ
Who will win Südtirol vs Virtus Entella?
Our statistical model makes Südtirol the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Südtirol 46%, draw 30%, Virtus Entella 24%.
Will both teams score in Südtirol vs Virtus Entella?
The model gives a 46% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Südtirol vs Virtus Entella?
Expected goals are 1.32 for Südtirol and 0.83 for Virtus Entella — about 2.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Südtirol vs Virtus Entella?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (15%). Double chance for Südtirol or draw is 76%.