SønderjyskE vs Horsens Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Denmark) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (DENMARK)
SønderjyskE vs Horsens
Model pick: SønderjyskE (46%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.71 – 1.03
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| SønderjyskE | Horsens |
|---|
| League position | #12 (1 pts) | #6 (7 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.7 / 2.0 | 1.5 / 1.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 2.0 | 1.4 / 1.8 |
*SønderjyskE shown at home, Horsens shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
SønderjyskE — last 5
LDLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 28% of the time; 51% of home games go over 2.5.
Horsens — last 5
LLWWL
On the road: clean sheet 17% of the time; 49% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | SønderjyskE (home) | Horsens (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-2 in 3 (0.7 / 2.0 goals per game) | 1-0-1 in 2 (1.5 / 1.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 28% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 49% |
| Top scorer | Matthew Hoppe (6) | – |
Super Liga (Denmark) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.84
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Super Liga (Denmark) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.71 vs 1.03):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — SønderjyskE or draw (1X) | 77% |
| Double chance — Horsens or draw (X2) | 47% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 76% / 24% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 29% / 71% |
| SønderjyskE clean sheet | 36% |
| Horsens clean sheet | 18% |
🎯 Our Verdict
SønderjyskE is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. SønderjyskE are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ SønderjyskE vs Horsens — FAQ
Who will win SønderjyskE vs Horsens?
Our statistical model makes SønderjyskE the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: SønderjyskE 46%, draw 27%, Horsens 27%.
Will both teams score in SønderjyskE vs Horsens?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in SønderjyskE vs Horsens?
Expected goals are 1.71 for SønderjyskE and 1.03 for Horsens — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in SønderjyskE vs Horsens?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for SønderjyskE or draw is 77%.