SønderjyskE vs Midtjylland Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Denmark) · Jul 26, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (DENMARK)
SønderjyskE vs Midtjylland
Model pick: Midtjylland (55%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.17 – 2.1
Total goals: 3.3
Over 2.5: 58%
Both teams score: 57%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| SønderjyskE | Midtjylland |
|---|
| League position | #2 (0 pts) | #9 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.4 | 3.2 / 1.4 |
*SønderjyskE shown at home, Midtjylland shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
SønderjyskE — last 5
WLDLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 28% of the time; 51% of home games go over 2.5.
Midtjylland — last 5
LWWWL
On the road: clean sheet 34% of the time; 55% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | SønderjyskE (home) | Midtjylland (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 28% | 34% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 55% |
| Top scorer | Matthew Hoppe (6) | – |
Super Liga (Denmark) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.84
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Super Liga (Denmark) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.17 vs 2.1):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-2 (10%) |
| Double chance — SønderjyskE or draw (1X) | 41% |
| Double chance — Midtjylland or draw (X2) | 79% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 84% / 16% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 41% / 59% |
| SønderjyskE clean sheet | 12% |
| Midtjylland clean sheet | 31% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Midtjylland is the model's most likely outcome at
55%. Despite playing away, Midtjylland edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.3, this shapes as an open game (58% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ SønderjyskE vs Midtjylland — FAQ
Who will win SønderjyskE vs Midtjylland?
Our statistical model makes Midtjylland the most likely result at 55%. Full probabilities: SønderjyskE 23%, draw 23%, Midtjylland 55%.
Will both teams score in SønderjyskE vs Midtjylland?
The model gives a 57% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in SønderjyskE vs Midtjylland?
Expected goals are 1.17 for SønderjyskE and 2.1 for Midtjylland — about 3.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in SønderjyskE vs Midtjylland?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-2 (10%). Double chance for SønderjyskE or draw is 41%.