SønderjyskE vs Nordsjælland Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Denmark) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 10:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (DENMARK)
SønderjyskE vs Nordsjælland
Model pick: Nordsjælland (48%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.32 – 1.75
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 56%
Both teams score: 62%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| SønderjyskE | Nordsjælland |
|---|
| League position | #12 (1 pts) | #4 (7 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 1.5 | 1.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.4 | 3.0 / 0.0 |
*SønderjyskE shown at home, Nordsjælland shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
SønderjyskE — last 5
WLLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 28% of the time; 51% of home games go over 2.5.
Nordsjælland — last 5
WWWWW
On the road: clean sheet 17% of the time; 61% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | SønderjyskE (home) | Nordsjælland (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-1 in 2 (1.0 / 1.5 goals per game) | 0-1-0 in 1 (1.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 28% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 61% |
| Top scorer | Matthew Hoppe (6) | Prince Amoako (8) |
Super Liga (Denmark) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.84
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Super Liga (Denmark) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.32 vs 1.75):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — SønderjyskE or draw (1X) | 52% |
| Double chance — Nordsjælland or draw (X2) | 71% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 81% / 19% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 37% / 63% |
| SønderjyskE clean sheet | 17% |
| Nordsjælland clean sheet | 27% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Nordsjælland is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. Despite playing away, Nordsjælland edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (56% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ SønderjyskE vs Nordsjælland — FAQ
Who will win SønderjyskE vs Nordsjælland?
Our statistical model makes Nordsjælland the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: SønderjyskE 27%, draw 24%, Nordsjælland 48%.
Will both teams score in SønderjyskE vs Nordsjælland?
The model gives a 62% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in SønderjyskE vs Nordsjælland?
Expected goals are 1.32 for SønderjyskE and 1.75 for Nordsjælland — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in SønderjyskE vs Nordsjælland?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for SønderjyskE or draw is 52%.