SønderjyskE vs Viborg Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Denmark) · Aug 07, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (DENMARK)
SønderjyskE vs Viborg
Model pick: Viborg (40%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.46 – 1.52
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 55%
Both teams score: 57%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| SønderjyskE | Viborg |
|---|
| League position | #11 (0 pts) | #3 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 3.0 | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 2.0 | 1.2 / 1.0 |
*SønderjyskE shown at home, Viborg shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
SønderjyskE — last 5
LDLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 28% of the time; 51% of home games go over 2.5.
Viborg — last 5
LWLWW
On the road: clean sheet 23% of the time; 53% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | SønderjyskE (home) | Viborg (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-1 in 1 (2.0 / 3.0 goals per game) | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 28% | 23% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 53% |
| Top scorer | Matthew Hoppe (6) | Charly Nouck (6) |
Super Liga (Denmark) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.84
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Super Liga (Denmark) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.46 vs 1.52):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — SønderjyskE or draw (1X) | 61% |
| Double chance — Viborg or draw (X2) | 64% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 80% / 20% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 35% / 65% |
| SønderjyskE clean sheet | 22% |
| Viborg clean sheet | 23% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Viborg is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Despite playing away, Viborg edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.0, this shapes as an open game (55% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ SønderjyskE vs Viborg — FAQ
Who will win SønderjyskE vs Viborg?
Our statistical model makes Viborg the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: SønderjyskE 34%, draw 26%, Viborg 40%.
Will both teams score in SønderjyskE vs Viborg?
The model gives a 57% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in SønderjyskE vs Viborg?
Expected goals are 1.46 for SønderjyskE and 1.52 for Viborg — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in SønderjyskE vs Viborg?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for SønderjyskE or draw is 61%.