Saguntino vs Levante II Prediction & Preview
Tercera (Spain) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
TERCERA (SPAIN)
Saguntino vs Levante II
Model pick: Saguntino (42%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.2 – 0.87
Total goals: 2.1
Over 2.5: 42%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Saguntino | Levante II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
*Saguntino shown at home, Levante II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Saguntino — last 5
WLWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 42% of the time; 40% of home games go over 2.5.
Levante II — last 5
LLDLW
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 39% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Saguntino (home) | Levante II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 42% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 48% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 39% |
Tercera (Spain) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.49
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 45%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Tercera (Spain) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.2 vs 0.87):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (15%) |
| Double chance — Saguntino or draw (1X) | 73% |
| Double chance — Levante II or draw (X2) | 56% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 61% / 39% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 16% / 84% |
| Saguntino clean sheet | 42% |
| Levante II clean sheet | 30% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Saguntino is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Saguntino are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (58% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Saguntino vs Levante II — FAQ
Who will win Saguntino vs Levante II?
Our statistical model makes Saguntino the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Saguntino 42%, draw 30%, Levante II 28%.
Will both teams score in Saguntino vs Levante II?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Saguntino vs Levante II?
Expected goals are 1.2 for Saguntino and 0.87 for Levante II — about 2.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Saguntino vs Levante II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (15%). Double chance for Saguntino or draw is 73%.