Salzburg vs Rapid Wien Prediction & Preview
Bundesliga (Austria) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
BUNDESLIGA (AUSTRIA)
Salzburg vs Rapid Wien
Model pick: Salzburg (54%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.92 – 1.03
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 54%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Salzburg | Rapid Wien |
|---|
| League position | #3 (7 pts) | #1 (9 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 0.0 | 2.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 0.8 | 3.4 / 0.4 |
*Salzburg shown at home, Rapid Wien shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Salzburg — last 5
WWDDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 43% of the time; 60% of home games go over 2.5.
Rapid Wien — last 5
WWWWW
On the road: clean sheet 23% of the time; 56% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Salzburg (home) | Rapid Wien (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (1.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 1-0-0 in 1 (2.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 43% | 23% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 56% |
| Top scorer | Maurits Kjaergaard (2) | – |
Bundesliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.88
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Bundesliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.92 vs 1.03):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Salzburg or draw (1X) | 80% |
| Double chance — Rapid Wien or draw (X2) | 42% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 79% / 21% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 34% / 66% |
| Salzburg clean sheet | 36% |
| Rapid Wien clean sheet | 15% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Salzburg is the model's most likely outcome at
54%. Salzburg are backed at home, where they average 2.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (46% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Salzburg vs Rapid Wien — FAQ
Who will win Salzburg vs Rapid Wien?
Our statistical model makes Salzburg the most likely result at 54%. Full probabilities: Salzburg 54%, draw 24%, Rapid Wien 22%.
Will both teams score in Salzburg vs Rapid Wien?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Salzburg vs Rapid Wien?
Expected goals are 1.92 for Salzburg and 1.03 for Rapid Wien — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Salzburg vs Rapid Wien?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Salzburg or draw is 80%.