Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia Prediction & Preview
Serie B (Italy) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SERIE B (ITALY)
Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia
Model pick: Sampdoria (36%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.08 – 1.0
Total goals: 2.1
Over 2.5: 42%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sampdoria | Juve Stabia |
|---|
| League position | #11 (1 pts) | #20 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 0.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.0 | 1.4 / 1.6 |
*Sampdoria shown at home, Juve Stabia shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sampdoria — last 5
DLWLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 30% of the time; 49% of home games go over 2.5.
Juve Stabia — last 5
WWLLL
On the road: clean sheet 26% of the time; 47% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sampdoria (home) | Juve Stabia (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 30% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 47% |
Serie B (Italy) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.45
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 32%
Away wins: 26%
Over 2.5: 44%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Serie B (Italy) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.08 vs 1.0):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — Sampdoria or draw (1X) | 67% |
| Double chance — Juve Stabia or draw (X2) | 63% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 62% / 38% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 16% / 84% |
| Sampdoria clean sheet | 37% |
| Juve Stabia clean sheet | 34% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Sampdoria is the model's most likely outcome at
36%. Sampdoria are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (58% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia — FAQ
Who will win Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia?
Our statistical model makes Sampdoria the most likely result at 36%. Full probabilities: Sampdoria 36%, draw 30%, Juve Stabia 33%.
Will both teams score in Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia?
Expected goals are 1.08 for Sampdoria and 1.0 for Juve Stabia — about 2.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sampdoria vs Juve Stabia?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (13%). Double chance for Sampdoria or draw is 67%.