San Antonio vs Oakland Roots Prediction & Preview
USL 1 (USA) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 01:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
USL 1 (USA)
San Antonio vs Oakland Roots
Model pick: San Antonio (46%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.79 – 0.5
Total goals: 1.3
Over 2.5: 27%
Both teams score: 49%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| San Antonio | Oakland Roots |
|---|
| League position | #3 (32 pts) | #10 (23 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.4 / 1.1 | 1.4 / 1.7 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 20% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.2 | 0.4 / 1.2 |
*San Antonio shown at home, Oakland Roots shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
San Antonio — last 5
WWDWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Oakland Roots — last 5
LLDLD
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 25% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | San Antonio (home) | Oakland Roots (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-3-2 in 10 (1.4 / 1.1 goals per game) | 2-4-4 in 10 (1.4 / 1.7 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 25% |
USL 1 (USA) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.47
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 42%
BTTS: 47%
Use these USL 1 (USA) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.79 vs 0.5):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (28%) |
| Double chance — San Antonio or draw (1X) | 79% |
| Double chance — Oakland Roots or draw (X2) | 61% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 60% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 37% / 63% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 4% / 96% |
| San Antonio clean sheet | 61% |
| Oakland Roots clean sheet | 45% |
🎯 Our Verdict
San Antonio is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. San Antonio are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (73% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ San Antonio vs Oakland Roots — FAQ
Who will win San Antonio vs Oakland Roots?
Our statistical model makes San Antonio the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: San Antonio 46%, draw 30%, Oakland Roots 24%.
Will both teams score in San Antonio vs Oakland Roots?
The model gives a 49% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in San Antonio vs Oakland Roots?
Expected goals are 0.79 for San Antonio and 0.5 for Oakland Roots — about 1.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in San Antonio vs Oakland Roots?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (28%). Double chance for San Antonio or draw is 79%.