San Lorenzo vs Huracán Prediction & Preview
Primera Division (Argentina) · Aug 09, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRIMERA DIVISION (ARGENTINA)
San Lorenzo vs Huracán
Model pick: Draw (35%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.85 – 0.69
Total goals: 1.5
Over 2.5: 32%
Both teams score: 37%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| San Lorenzo | Huracán |
|---|
| League position | #7 (22 pts) | #7 (22 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.2 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Win rate this season* | 38% | 12% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
*San Lorenzo shown at home, Huracán shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
San Lorenzo — last 5
DLLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 39% of the time; 30% of home games go over 2.5.
Huracán — last 5
WLDWL
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 32% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | San Lorenzo (home) | Huracán (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 3-2-3 in 8 (1.2 / 1.4 goals per game) | 1-6-1 in 8 (0.8 / 0.6 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 39% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 44% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 32% |
| Top scorer | Rodrigo Auzmendi (4) | Jordy Caicedo (8) |
Primera Division (Argentina) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.22
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 27%
Over 2.5: 38%
BTTS: 44%
Use these Primera Division (Argentina) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.85 vs 0.69):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (21%) |
| Double chance — San Lorenzo or draw (1X) | 73% |
| Double chance — Huracán or draw (X2) | 63% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 64% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 46% / 54% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 7% / 93% |
| San Lorenzo clean sheet | 50% |
| Huracán clean sheet | 43% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
35%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (68% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ San Lorenzo vs Huracán — FAQ
Who will win San Lorenzo vs Huracán?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 35%. Full probabilities: San Lorenzo 34%, draw 35%, Huracán 31%.
Will both teams score in San Lorenzo vs Huracán?
The model gives a 37% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in San Lorenzo vs Huracán?
Expected goals are 0.85 for San Lorenzo and 0.69 for Huracán — about 1.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in San Lorenzo vs Huracán?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (21%). Double chance for San Lorenzo or draw is 73%.