San Martín Burzaco vs Comunicaciones Prediction & Preview
Prim B Metro (Argentina) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 20:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRIM B METRO (ARGENTINA)
San Martín Burzaco vs Comunicaciones
Model pick: San Martín Burzaco (36%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.1 – 1.07
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 43%
Both teams score: 49%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| San Martín Burzaco | Comunicaciones |
| League position | #14 (36 pts) | #10 (39 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 14% | 36% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.0 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
*San Martín Burzaco shown at home, Comunicaciones shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
San Martín Burzaco — last 5
WLLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 55% of the time; 23% of home games go over 2.5.
Comunicaciones — last 5
DWLDL
On the road: clean sheet 31% of the time; 38% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | San Martín Burzaco (home) | Comunicaciones (away) |
| This season record | 2-7-5 in 14 (1.0 / 1.1 goals per game) | 5-5-4 in 14 (0.9 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 55% | 31% |
| Both teams scored | 39% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 23% | 38% |
Prim B Metro (Argentina) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.06
Home wins: 39%
Draws: 33%
Away wins: 28%
Over 2.5: 35%
BTTS: 43%
Use these Prim B Metro (Argentina) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.1 vs 1.07):
| Market | Model probability |
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — San Martín Burzaco or draw (1X) | 65% |
| Double chance — Comunicaciones or draw (X2) | 64% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 71% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 64% / 36% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 17% / 83% |
| San Martín Burzaco clean sheet | 34% |
| Comunicaciones clean sheet | 33% |
🎯 Our Verdict
San Martín Burzaco is the model's most likely outcome at
36%. San Martín Burzaco are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (57% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ San Martín Burzaco vs Comunicaciones — FAQ
Who will win San Martín Burzaco vs Comunicaciones?
Our statistical model makes San Martín Burzaco the most likely result at 36%. Full probabilities: San Martín Burzaco 36%, draw 30%, Comunicaciones 34%.
Will both teams score in San Martín Burzaco vs Comunicaciones?
The model gives a 49% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in San Martín Burzaco vs Comunicaciones?
Expected goals are 1.1 for San Martín Burzaco and 1.07 for Comunicaciones — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in San Martín Burzaco vs Comunicaciones?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for San Martín Burzaco or draw is 65%.