San Martín Burzaco vs Deportivo Armenio Prediction & Preview
Prim B Metro (Argentina) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 20:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRIM B METRO (ARGENTINA)
San Martín Burzaco vs Deportivo Armenio
Model pick: Deportivo Armenio (40%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.9 – 1.14
Total goals: 2.0
Over 2.5: 41%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| San Martín Burzaco | Deportivo Armenio |
|---|
| League position | #13 (40 pts) | #9 (44 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.1 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 1.4 |
| Win rate this season* | 19% | 25% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.8 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
*San Martín Burzaco shown at home, Deportivo Armenio shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
San Martín Burzaco — last 5
DLDLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 54% of the time; 24% of home games go over 2.5.
Deportivo Armenio — last 5
LWWLL
On the road: clean sheet 40% of the time; 30% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | San Martín Burzaco (home) | Deportivo Armenio (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 3-8-5 in 16 (1.1 / 1.1 goals per game) | 4-4-8 in 16 (0.9 / 1.4 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 54% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 39% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 24% | 30% |
Prim B Metro (Argentina) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.06
Home wins: 39%
Draws: 33%
Away wins: 28%
Over 2.5: 35%
BTTS: 43%
Use these Prim B Metro (Argentina) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.9 vs 1.14):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (15%) |
| Double chance — San Martín Burzaco or draw (1X) | 59% |
| Double chance — Deportivo Armenio or draw (X2) | 71% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 60% / 40% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 15% / 85% |
| San Martín Burzaco clean sheet | 32% |
| Deportivo Armenio clean sheet | 41% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Deportivo Armenio is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Despite playing away, Deportivo Armenio edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (59% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ San Martín Burzaco vs Deportivo Armenio — FAQ
Who will win San Martín Burzaco vs Deportivo Armenio?
Our statistical model makes Deportivo Armenio the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: San Martín Burzaco 29%, draw 31%, Deportivo Armenio 40%.
Will both teams score in San Martín Burzaco vs Deportivo Armenio?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in San Martín Burzaco vs Deportivo Armenio?
Expected goals are 0.9 for San Martín Burzaco and 1.14 for Deportivo Armenio — about 2.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in San Martín Burzaco vs Deportivo Armenio?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (15%). Double chance for San Martín Burzaco or draw is 59%.