San Martin Mendoza vs Fundacion Amigos Prediction & Preview
Argentino A (Argentina) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 20:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ARGENTINO A (ARGENTINA)
San Martin Mendoza vs Fundacion Amigos
Model pick: Draw (40%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.77 – 0.43
Total goals: 1.2
Over 2.5: 25%
Both teams score: 35%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| San Martin Mendoza | Fundacion Amigos |
|---|
| League position | #7 (18 pts) | #5 (20 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 57% | 14% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
*San Martin Mendoza shown at home, Fundacion Amigos shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
San Martin Mendoza — last 5
DWWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 40% of the time; 40% of home games go over 2.5.
Fundacion Amigos — last 5
WLDLW
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 25% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | San Martin Mendoza (home) | Fundacion Amigos (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 4-3-0 in 7 (1.0 / 0.3 goals per game) | 1-4-2 in 7 (0.7 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 40% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 25% |
Argentino A (Argentina) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 1.95
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 33%
Away wins: 20%
Over 2.5: 33%
BTTS: 36%
Use these Argentino A (Argentina) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.77 vs 0.43):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (30%) |
| Double chance — San Martin Mendoza or draw (1X) | 81% |
| Double chance — Fundacion Amigos or draw (X2) | 60% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 59% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 34% / 66% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 3% / 97% |
| San Martin Mendoza clean sheet | 65% |
| Fundacion Amigos clean sheet | 46% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (75% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ San Martin Mendoza vs Fundacion Amigos — FAQ
Who will win San Martin Mendoza vs Fundacion Amigos?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: San Martin Mendoza 39%, draw 40%, Fundacion Amigos 20%.
Will both teams score in San Martin Mendoza vs Fundacion Amigos?
The model gives a 35% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in San Martin Mendoza vs Fundacion Amigos?
Expected goals are 0.77 for San Martin Mendoza and 0.43 for Fundacion Amigos — about 1.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in San Martin Mendoza vs Fundacion Amigos?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (30%). Double chance for San Martin Mendoza or draw is 81%.