San Telmo vs Los Andes Prediction & Preview
Argentino B (Argentina) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ARGENTINO B (ARGENTINA)
San Telmo vs Los Andes
Model pick: San Telmo (38%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.42 – 0.69
Total goals: 2.1
Over 2.5: 42%
Both teams score: 43%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| San Telmo | Los Andes |
|---|
| League position | #15 (27 pts) | #9 (33 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.1 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Win rate this season* | 38% | 33% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.4 | 0.2 / 1.4 |
*San Telmo shown at home, Los Andes shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
San Telmo — last 5
WLLDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 31% of the time; 43% of home games go over 2.5.
Los Andes — last 5
DLLLL
On the road: clean sheet 30% of the time; 27% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | San Telmo (home) | Los Andes (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-3-5 in 13 (1.1 / 1.2 goals per game) | 4-3-5 in 12 (0.8 / 0.8 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 31% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 27% |
Argentino B (Argentina) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.11
Home wins: 52%
Draws: 29%
Away wins: 19%
Over 2.5: 36%
BTTS: 43%
Use these Argentino B (Argentina) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.42 vs 0.69):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (17%) |
| Double chance — San Telmo or draw (1X) | 82% |
| Double chance — Los Andes or draw (X2) | 45% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 62% / 38% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 16% / 84% |
| San Telmo clean sheet | 50% |
| Los Andes clean sheet | 24% |
🎯 Our Verdict
San Telmo is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. San Telmo are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (58% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ San Telmo vs Los Andes — FAQ
Who will win San Telmo vs Los Andes?
Our statistical model makes San Telmo the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: San Telmo 38%, draw 32%, Los Andes 30%.
Will both teams score in San Telmo vs Los Andes?
The model gives a 43% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in San Telmo vs Los Andes?
Expected goals are 1.42 for San Telmo and 0.69 for Los Andes — about 2.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in San Telmo vs Los Andes?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (17%). Double chance for San Telmo or draw is 82%.