Sanat Naft vs Foolad Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Iran) · Aug 24, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (IRAN)
Sanat Naft vs Foolad
Model pick: Foolad (40%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.91 – 1.16
Total goals: 2.1
Over 2.5: 42%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sanat Naft | Foolad |
|---|
| League position | #9 (1 pts) | #11 (1 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 1.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 0.4 | 1.8 / 0.8 |
*Sanat Naft shown at home, Foolad shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sanat Naft — last 5
WWWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 28% of the time; 35% of home games go over 2.5.
Foolad — last 5
DWWWD
On the road: clean sheet 38% of the time; 29% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sanat Naft (home) | Foolad (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-0 in 1 (1.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 0-1-0 in 1 (0.0 / 0.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 28% | 38% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 29% |
Premier League (Iran) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.01
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 35%
Away wins: 27%
Over 2.5: 33%
BTTS: 41%
Use these Premier League (Iran) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.91 vs 1.16):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (15%) |
| Double chance — Sanat Naft or draw (1X) | 59% |
| Double chance — Foolad or draw (X2) | 71% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 61% / 39% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 16% / 84% |
| Sanat Naft clean sheet | 31% |
| Foolad clean sheet | 40% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Foolad is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Despite playing away, Foolad edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (58% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Sanat Naft vs Foolad — FAQ
Who will win Sanat Naft vs Foolad?
Our statistical model makes Foolad the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Sanat Naft 29%, draw 30%, Foolad 40%.
Will both teams score in Sanat Naft vs Foolad?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Sanat Naft vs Foolad?
Expected goals are 0.91 for Sanat Naft and 1.16 for Foolad — about 2.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sanat Naft vs Foolad?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (15%). Double chance for Sanat Naft or draw is 59%.