Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Chojniczanka Chojnice Prediction & Preview
II Liga (Poland) · Aug 02, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
II LIGA (POLAND)
Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Chojniczanka Chojnice
Model pick: Sandecja Nowy Sącz (37%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.3 – 1.24
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sandecja Nowy Sącz | Chojniczanka Chojnice |
|---|
| League position | #5 (0 pts) | #10 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 2.6 | 1.4 / 1.8 |
*Sandecja Nowy Sącz shown at home, Chojniczanka Chojnice shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sandecja Nowy Sącz — last 5
LLWDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 31% of the time; 45% of home games go over 2.5.
Chojniczanka Chojnice — last 5
LWWLL
On the road: clean sheet 28% of the time; 51% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sandecja Nowy Sącz (home) | Chojniczanka Chojnice (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 31% | 28% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 51% |
II Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.74
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 54%
Use these II Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.3 vs 1.24):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Sandecja Nowy Sącz or draw (1X) | 65% |
| Double chance — Chojniczanka Chojnice or draw (X2) | 62% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 72% / 28% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 25% / 75% |
| Sandecja Nowy Sącz clean sheet | 29% |
| Chojniczanka Chojnice clean sheet | 27% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Sandecja Nowy Sącz is the model's most likely outcome at
37%. Sandecja Nowy Sącz are backed at home, where they average 1.1 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
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❓ Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Chojniczanka Chojnice — FAQ
Who will win Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?
Our statistical model makes Sandecja Nowy Sącz the most likely result at 37%. Full probabilities: Sandecja Nowy Sącz 37%, draw 28%, Chojniczanka Chojnice 35%.
Will both teams score in Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?
Expected goals are 1.3 for Sandecja Nowy Sącz and 1.24 for Chojniczanka Chojnice — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Sandecja Nowy Sącz or draw is 65%.