Sandnes Ulf vs Ranheim Prediction & Preview
Adeccoligaen (Norway) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ADECCOLIGAEN (NORWAY)
Sandnes Ulf vs Ranheim
Model pick: Ranheim (49%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.41 – 2.06
Total goals: 3.5
Over 2.5: 61%
Both teams score: 60%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sandnes Ulf | Ranheim |
|---|
| League position | #11 (23 pts) | #10 (23 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.7 / 1.8 | 1.9 / 3.1 |
| Win rate this season* | 40% | 22% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 2.2 | 3.2 / 2.4 |
*Sandnes Ulf shown at home, Ranheim shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sandnes Ulf — last 5
LLLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 28% of the time; 60% of home games go over 2.5.
Ranheim — last 5
LWLWL
On the road: clean sheet 18% of the time; 63% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sandnes Ulf (home) | Ranheim (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 4-1-5 in 10 (1.7 / 1.8 goals per game) | 2-0-7 in 9 (1.9 / 3.1 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 28% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 54% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 63% |
Adeccoligaen (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.11
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 60%
Use these Adeccoligaen (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.41 vs 2.06):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-2 (9%) |
| Double chance — Sandnes Ulf or draw (1X) | 47% |
| Double chance — Ranheim or draw (X2) | 74% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 86% / 14% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 46% / 54% |
| Sandnes Ulf clean sheet | 13% |
| Ranheim clean sheet | 24% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ranheim is the model's most likely outcome at
49%. Despite playing away, Ranheim edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.5, this shapes as an open game (61% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Sandnes Ulf vs Ranheim — FAQ
Who will win Sandnes Ulf vs Ranheim?
Our statistical model makes Ranheim the most likely result at 49%. Full probabilities: Sandnes Ulf 28%, draw 23%, Ranheim 49%.
Will both teams score in Sandnes Ulf vs Ranheim?
The model gives a 60% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Sandnes Ulf vs Ranheim?
Expected goals are 1.41 for Sandnes Ulf and 2.06 for Ranheim — about 3.5 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sandnes Ulf vs Ranheim?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-2 (9%). Double chance for Sandnes Ulf or draw is 47%.