Sandorfalvi vs Csepel Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Sandorfalvi vs Csepel
Model pick: Csepel (42%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.51 – 0.9
Total goals: 1.4
Over 2.5: 30%
Both teams score: 39%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sandorfalvi | Csepel |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 3.6 | 1.2 / 1.0 |
*Sandorfalvi shown at home, Csepel shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sandorfalvi — last 5
LLWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Csepel — last 5
LDWDW
On the road: clean sheet 60% of the time; 40% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sandorfalvi (home) | Csepel (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 40% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.3
Home wins: 50%
Draws: 17%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.51 vs 0.9):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (24%) |
| Double chance — Sandorfalvi or draw (1X) | 57% |
| Double chance — Csepel or draw (X2) | 80% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 63% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 41% / 59% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 5% / 95% |
| Sandorfalvi clean sheet | 41% |
| Csepel clean sheet | 60% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Csepel is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Despite playing away, Csepel edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (70% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Sandorfalvi vs Csepel — FAQ
Who will win Sandorfalvi vs Csepel?
Our statistical model makes Csepel the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Sandorfalvi 22%, draw 37%, Csepel 42%.
Will both teams score in Sandorfalvi vs Csepel?
The model gives a 39% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Sandorfalvi vs Csepel?
Expected goals are 0.51 for Sandorfalvi and 0.9 for Csepel — about 1.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sandorfalvi vs Csepel?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (24%). Double chance for Sandorfalvi or draw is 57%.