Sandviken vs Oddevold Prediction & Preview
Superettan (Sweden) · Sep 09, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPERETTAN (SWEDEN)
Sandviken vs Oddevold
Model pick: Sandviken (39%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.58 – 1.16
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sandviken | Oddevold |
|---|
| League position | #8 (30 pts) | #9 (29 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.1 / 1.5 | 1.7 / 1.6 |
| Win rate this season* | 45% | 36% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.4 | 2.0 / 1.8 |
*Sandviken shown at home, Oddevold shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sandviken — last 5
LWWDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 26% of the time; 59% of home games go over 2.5.
Oddevold — last 5
WDDWL
On the road: clean sheet 37% of the time; 49% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sandviken (home) | Oddevold (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-3-3 in 11 (2.1 / 1.5 goals per game) | 4-4-3 in 11 (1.7 / 1.6 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 26% | 37% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 49% |
| Top scorer | – | Leonardo Shahin (2) |
Superettan (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.72
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Superettan (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.58 vs 1.16):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Sandviken or draw (1X) | 72% |
| Double chance — Oddevold or draw (X2) | 53% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 76% / 24% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 29% / 71% |
| Sandviken clean sheet | 31% |
| Oddevold clean sheet | 21% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Sandviken is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. Sandviken are backed at home, where they average 1.8 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Sandviken vs Oddevold — FAQ
Who will win Sandviken vs Oddevold?
Our statistical model makes Sandviken the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: Sandviken 39%, draw 26%, Oddevold 35%.
Will both teams score in Sandviken vs Oddevold?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Sandviken vs Oddevold?
Expected goals are 1.58 for Sandviken and 1.16 for Oddevold — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sandviken vs Oddevold?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Sandviken or draw is 72%.