Sarbogard vs Pecsi MFC Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Aug 12, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Sarbogard vs Pecsi MFC
Model pick: Sarbogard (46%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.83 – 0.27
Total goals: 1.1
Over 2.5: 23%
Both teams score: 31%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sarbogard | Pecsi MFC |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.5 / 1.5 | 1.75 / 0.5 |
*Sarbogard shown at home, Pecsi MFC shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sarbogard — last 5
LL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Pecsi MFC — last 5
DWWW
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sarbogard (home) | Pecsi MFC (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 50% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.7
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 74%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.83 vs 0.27):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (33%) |
| Double chance — Sarbogard or draw (1X) | 89% |
| Double chance — Pecsi MFC or draw (X2) | 53% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 59% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 30% / 70% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 3% / 97% |
| Sarbogard clean sheet | 76% |
| Pecsi MFC clean sheet | 44% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Sarbogard is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Sarbogard are backed at home, where they average 0.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (77% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Sarbogard vs Pecsi MFC — FAQ
Who will win Sarbogard vs Pecsi MFC?
Our statistical model makes Sarbogard the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Sarbogard 46%, draw 40%, Pecsi MFC 14%.
Will both teams score in Sarbogard vs Pecsi MFC?
The model gives a 31% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Sarbogard vs Pecsi MFC?
Expected goals are 0.83 for Sarbogard and 0.27 for Pecsi MFC — about 1.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sarbogard vs Pecsi MFC?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (33%). Double chance for Sarbogard or draw is 89%.