Sariyer vs Pendikspor Prediction & Preview
Lig A (Turkey) · Sep 01, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIG A (TURKEY)
Sariyer vs Pendikspor
Model pick: Sariyer (37%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.07 – 1.01
Total goals: 2.1
Over 2.5: 42%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sariyer | Pendikspor |
|---|
| League position | #9 (4 pts) | #10 (4 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 1.0 | 2.0 / 3.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 0.6 | 1.6 / 2.2 |
*Sariyer shown at home, Pendikspor shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sariyer — last 5
WWWDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 48% of the time; 48% of home games go over 2.5.
Pendikspor — last 5
LWDLW
On the road: clean sheet 23% of the time; 51% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sariyer (home) | Pendikspor (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-1 in 2 (1.5 / 1.0 goals per game) | 1-0-1 in 2 (2.0 / 3.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 48% | 23% |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 51% |
| Top scorer | Marcos Silva (3) | Jonson Clarke-Harris (6) |
Lig A (Turkey) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.67
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 50%
Use these Lig A (Turkey) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.07 vs 1.01):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (14%) |
| Double chance — Sariyer or draw (1X) | 67% |
| Double chance — Pendikspor or draw (X2) | 64% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 62% / 38% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 16% / 84% |
| Sariyer clean sheet | 36% |
| Pendikspor clean sheet | 34% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Sariyer is the model's most likely outcome at
37%. Sariyer are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (58% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Sariyer vs Pendikspor — FAQ
Who will win Sariyer vs Pendikspor?
Our statistical model makes Sariyer the most likely result at 37%. Full probabilities: Sariyer 37%, draw 29%, Pendikspor 34%.
Will both teams score in Sariyer vs Pendikspor?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Sariyer vs Pendikspor?
Expected goals are 1.07 for Sariyer and 1.01 for Pendikspor — about 2.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sariyer vs Pendikspor?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (14%). Double chance for Sariyer or draw is 67%.