Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Brumunddal Prediction & Preview
3 Divisjon (Norway) · Aug 09, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 DIVISJON (NORWAY)
Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Brumunddal
Model pick: Draw (42%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 18.18 – 37.98
Total goals: 56.2
Over 2.5: 0%
Both teams score: 0%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sarpsborg 08 2 | Brumunddal |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 2.5 | 1.0 / 8.0 |
*Sarpsborg 08 2 shown at home, Brumunddal shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sarpsborg 08 2 — last 5
LD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Brumunddal — last 5
LL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sarpsborg 08 2 (home) | Brumunddal (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
3 Divisjon (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.72
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 17%
Away wins: 39%
Over 2.5: 80%
BTTS: 74%
Use these 3 Divisjon (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (18.18 vs 37.98):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 8-8 (47%) |
| Double chance — Sarpsborg 08 2 or draw (1X) | 65% |
| Double chance — Brumunddal or draw (X2) | 87% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 48% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Sarpsborg 08 2 clean sheet | 0% |
| Brumunddal clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (100% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Brumunddal — FAQ
Who will win Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Brumunddal?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Sarpsborg 08 2 17%, draw 42%, Brumunddal 41%.
Will both teams score in Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Brumunddal?
The model gives a 0% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Brumunddal?
Expected goals are 18.18 for Sarpsborg 08 2 and 37.98 for Brumunddal — about 56.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Brumunddal?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 8-8 (47%). Double chance for Sarpsborg 08 2 or draw is 65%.