Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Rade Prediction & Preview
3 Divisjon (Norway) · Aug 31, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 DIVISJON (NORWAY)
Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Rade
Model pick: Rade (84%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.3 – 6.34
Total goals: 8.6
Over 2.5: 82%
Both teams score: 71%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sarpsborg 08 2 | Rade |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.75 / 2.0 | 3.2 / 1.2 |
*Sarpsborg 08 2 shown at home, Rade shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sarpsborg 08 2 — last 5
LDWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Rade — last 5
WWDWL
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sarpsborg 08 2 (home) | Rade (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
3 Divisjon (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.65
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 14%
Away wins: 37%
Over 2.5: 80%
BTTS: 68%
Use these 3 Divisjon (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.3 vs 6.34):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-6 (5%) |
| Double chance — Sarpsborg 08 2 or draw (1X) | 13% |
| Double chance — Rade or draw (X2) | 93% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 93% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 97% / 3% |
| Sarpsborg 08 2 clean sheet | 0% |
| Rade clean sheet | 10% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Rade is the model's most likely outcome at
84%. Despite playing away, Rade edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 8.6, this shapes as an open game (82% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Rade — FAQ
Who will win Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Rade?
Our statistical model makes Rade the most likely result at 84%. Full probabilities: Sarpsborg 08 2 8%, draw 8%, Rade 84%.
Will both teams score in Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Rade?
The model gives a 71% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Rade?
Expected goals are 2.3 for Sarpsborg 08 2 and 6.34 for Rade — about 8.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Rade?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-6 (5%). Double chance for Sarpsborg 08 2 or draw is 13%.