Sasel vs Harksheide Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 09:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Sasel vs Harksheide
Model pick: Draw (40%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.74 – 0.45
Total goals: 1.2
Over 2.5: 25%
Both teams score: 35%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Sasel | Harksheide |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 3.33 | 1.0 / 1.5 |
*Sasel shown at home, Harksheide shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Sasel — last 5
LLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Harksheide — last 5
LD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Sasel (home) | Harksheide (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.43
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.74 vs 0.45):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (30%) |
| Double chance — Sasel or draw (1X) | 80% |
| Double chance — Harksheide or draw (X2) | 62% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 59% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 33% / 67% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 3% / 97% |
| Sasel clean sheet | 64% |
| Harksheide clean sheet | 48% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (75% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Sasel vs Harksheide — FAQ
Who will win Sasel vs Harksheide?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Sasel 38%, draw 40%, Harksheide 22%.
Will both teams score in Sasel vs Harksheide?
The model gives a 35% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Sasel vs Harksheide?
Expected goals are 0.74 for Sasel and 0.45 for Harksheide — about 1.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Sasel vs Harksheide?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (30%). Double chance for Sasel or draw is 80%.